Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Polina Iatcenko vs Storm Hunter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1662590fe1da0d6903c3d614c9d4a801c6a81c49f641e18f821c69ad9eb7ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Storm Hunterof Polina Iatcenko, Storm Hunter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Storm Hunter | 77c | 11,017$8,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.96 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Polina Iatcenko | 16c | 7,916$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.1 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Polina Iatcenko | 23c | 4,557$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.65 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Storm Hunter | 69c | 2,120$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.21 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Polina Iatcenko | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Polina Iatcenko | 23c | 1,466$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.13 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Polina Iatcenko | 31c | 1,123$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.25 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Storm Hunter | 80c | 1,090$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.97 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Polina Iatcenko | 29c | 778.28$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.96 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Polina Iatcenko | 19c | 714.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Polina Iatcenko | 20c | 553.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Polina Iatcenko | 31c | 492.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Storm Hunter | 71c | 419.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 352 | 64.2%226 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Polina Iatcenko | 23c | 365$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Polina Iatcenko | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Storm Hunter | 77c | 313.16$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Storm Hunter | 70c | 250.93$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Storm Hunter | 68c | 239.71$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Polina Iatcenko | 21c | 233.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Polina Iatcenko | 31c | 228.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Polina Iatcenko | 32c | 219.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Polina Iatcenko | 18c | 188$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Storm Hunter | 70c | 186.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Polina Iatcenko | 19c | 160.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Polina Iatcenko | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Polina Iatcenko | 33c | 149.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Polina Iatcenko | 13c | 134.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 212 | 59.4%126 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Polina Iatcenko | 29c | 108.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Storm Hunter | 68c | 107.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Storm Hunter | 69c | 103.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Polina Iatcenko | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Storm Hunter | 79c | 95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Storm Hunter | 67c | 84.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Polina Iatcenko | 18c | 82.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Polina Iatcenko | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Storm Hunter | 80c | 72.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Storm Hunter | 67c | 62.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Polina Iatcenko | 32c | 59.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Polina Iatcenko | 30c | 59.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Polina Iatcenko | 32c | 57.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Polina Iatcenko | 23c | 49.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Polina Iatcenko | 31c | 47.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Polina Iatcenko | 29c | 47.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Polina Iatcenko | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Polina Iatcenko | 32c | 44.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Storm Hunter | 71c | 42.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Storm Hunter | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Polina Iatcenko | 33c | 32.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe526…cb69backed Storm Hunter | 74c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.