Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf74acc29cb6f12a70e03c9f58661f1b10d5eb3fe77d3bd8b56a83cb0819348f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Old Dominion Monarchsof Old Dominion Monarchs, Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…00e2backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 11c | 2,773$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 1,750$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 1,457$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.29 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 72c | 1,362$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.74 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 72c | 1,107$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 72c | 1,090$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 72c | 1,087$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.64 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 32c | 1,074$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 20c | 903.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 77c | 875.15$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…5815backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 72c | 543.06$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 471.51$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.77 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 425.64$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.79 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 26c | 266$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 40c | 250$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 17c | 227.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 196.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 177$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 54c | 148.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 132.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 116.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 73c | 102.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 33c | 96.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 19c | 61.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 80c | 48.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersthis page
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.