Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Luka Pavlovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd717c0156c330a7fbf85593b4ed51fc0a696d9f00d425d9ab8f768e59b65f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Pavlovicof Matteo Martineau, Luka Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Martineau | 4c | 3,906$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Martineau | 10c | 2,470$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luka Pavlovic | 79c | 1,339$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.26 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Matteo Martineau | 28c | 1,228$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.59 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Luka Pavlovic | 67c | 949.43$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Luka Pavlovic | 66c | 753.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Matteo Martineau | 33c | 625.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Martineau | 28c | 608.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luka Pavlovic | 71c | 606$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matteo Martineau | 21c | 590.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Matteo Martineau | 5c | 566.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 71c | 550.85$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matteo Martineau | 33c | 505$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Matteo Martineau | 34c | 476.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Matteo Martineau | 35c | 365.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Matteo Martineau | 35c | 332.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Matteo Martineau | 5c | 310.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 261$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Matteo Martineau | 6c | 259.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Matteo Martineau | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Matteo Martineau | 25c | 224.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 206.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Luka Pavlovic | 78c | 172.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 170.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Matteo Martineau | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Matteo Martineau | 14c | 158.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matteo Martineau | 33c | 150.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Matteo Martineau | 25c | 135.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Matteo Martineau | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 78c | 127.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Martineau | 27c | 122$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matteo Martineau | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Matteo Martineau | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matteo Martineau | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matteo Martineau | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 71c | 89.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Matteo Martineau | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fc…7ac9backed Luka Pavlovic | 66c | 65.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…aa36backed Matteo Martineau | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Matteo Martineau | 31c | 62.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Matteo Martineau | 26c | 60.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Matteo Martineau | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 57.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Matteo Martineau | 36c | 55.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Matteo Martineau | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Luka Pavlovic | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Luka Pavlovic | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Matteo Martineau | 37c | 44.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Luka Pavlovic | 66c | 39.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luka Pavlovic | 75c | 38.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matteo Martineau | 34c | 35.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…a0b2backed Luka Pavlovic | 78c | 33.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Luka Pavlovic | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Luka Pavlovic | 78c | 23.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Luka Pavlovic | 71c | 17.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 16.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.