Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0444f3930700802b0945d07131791efc0fad36fe46d7f764b6c0324581c1c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 67c | 9,167$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.85 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 24c | 7,132$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.4 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 45c | 3,313$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 4c | 3,022$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Under | 1c | 2,920$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 26c | 1,583$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.42 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,493$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.96 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 23c | 1,142$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 3c | 924.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 74c | 754$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.77 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 42c | 647.53$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.7 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 20c | 632.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.48 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 609.26$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.47 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 583.11$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.77 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 63c | 474.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 382.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 31c | 371.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.64 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 370$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 368.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 253.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.48 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 15c | 210.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 69c | 207.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 74c | 154.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 71c | 151$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 136.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 69c | 135$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 30c | 128.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 77c | 120.88$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 24c | 84.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 70c | 69.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 57.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 74c | 54.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 59c | 37.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 32c | 32.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Over | 77c | 32.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 38c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 46c | 25.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Over | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-1.5)FC Dinamo City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.