TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sinja Kraus vs Sorana Cirstea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sorana Cirsteaof Sinja Kraus, Sorana Cirstea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9902…34b3backed Sinja Kraus1c8,532$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4111327.4%31 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Sinja Kraus11c3,442$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.644339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sinja Kraus7c3,182$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.426,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Sinja Kraus6c2,467$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.081,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Sinja Kraus6c1,952$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.699737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Sinja Kraus6c1,366$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.981,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef08…2cd0backed Sinja Kraus3c1,106$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Sinja Kraus5c1,100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4876853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Sinja Kraus22c1,094$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.271,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Sinja Kraus6c960.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.651,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Sinja Kraus6c958.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4848453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Sinja Kraus6c948.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9250156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Sinja Kraus16c936.17$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.761924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Sinja Kraus18c866.86$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1222033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sinja Kraus7c865.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8761752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Sinja Kraus7c824.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.691,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Sinja Kraus7c824.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6930555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Sinja Kraus7c824.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6913151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Sinja Kraus7c821.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4985348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Sinja Kraus7c821.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4919153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Sinja Kraus7c811.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8429652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Sinja Kraus7c811.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8439955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Sinja Kraus6c797.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8623758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Sinja Kraus6c786.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1857052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Sinja Kraus6c756.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0110160.4%61 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Sinja Kraus9c745.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7830715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Sinja Kraus7c674.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2123444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Sinja Kraus7c674.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2133557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sinja Kraus20c575.29$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.422,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Sinja Kraus6c512.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0429851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sorana Cirstea79c449.44$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.993,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Sinja Kraus6c385.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.989054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0da…b072backed Sinja Kraus6c385.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Sinja Kraus7c376.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2532050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Sinja Kraus7c337.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.67345.2%33 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Sinja Kraus12c315.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.891,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Sinja Kraus21c315.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.481,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Sorana Cirstea80c308.75$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7514564.1%93 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Sinja Kraus12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sinja Kraus21c271.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.911,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30bb…da96backed Sorana Cirstea80c265.63$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.211457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinja Kraus8c251.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.864,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Sorana Cirstea79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4984857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Sorana Cirstea80c247.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6484963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Sorana Cirstea80c247.18$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5815762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Sorana Cirstea79c221.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5318156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Sinja Kraus15c209.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.591,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Sinja Kraus14c203.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4527936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Sinja Kraus14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2858021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Sinja Kraus20c196.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.241,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Sinja Kraus21c169.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6919344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Sinja Kraus20c151.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5229230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Sinja Kraus20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3095742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sinja Kraus13c146.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.243,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Sorana Cirstea79c129.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9235268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Sorana Cirstea80c123.52$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7246562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sorana Cirstea80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.748043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sorana Cirstea80c114.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.921,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked Sorana Cirstea80c98.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.769365.6%61 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd76…22febacked Sorana Cirstea80c93.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.645757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Sorana Cirstea78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Sinja Kraus21c89.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8786835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Sinja Kraus16c89.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2410044%44 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e4…4b21backed Sinja Kraus22c85.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sorana Cirstea79c76.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0150644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Sorana Cirstea79c59.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4416560%99 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Sorana Cirstea79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.516370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Sinja Kraus22c45.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0414958.4%87 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Sorana Cirstea80c43.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6981457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sorana Cirstea80c41.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.232,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Sorana Cirstea80c36.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.318968.5%61 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Sorana Cirstea80c33.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7264358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Sorana Cirstea80c32.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5215261.2%93 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Sorana Cirstea79c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5641668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Sorana Cirstea80c30.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1822359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sorana Cirstea80c25.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.289,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Sorana Cirstea80c25.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1417761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Sorana Cirstea80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6836…049ebacked Sorana Cirstea80c24.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.942161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202e…65babacked Sorana Cirstea79c24.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.07887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Sorana Cirstea79c17.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7110550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sorana Cirstea77c17.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.997,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7387…ccf1backed Sorana Cirstea80c14.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.013154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.