Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd103a582c9db213b199070c24804587636a019672d4bf0b41d16581fc17d5f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 76c | 926.86$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 74c | 692.1$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.23 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 4c | 674.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 23c | 564.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 24c | 538.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 22c | 379.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 76c | 333$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 27c | 325$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 30c | 305.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 264.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 19c | 257.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 24c | 225.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 13c | 219.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 26c | 211$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…297dbacked Yes | 11c | 196.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 175 | 11.4%20 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 20c | 189.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 76c | 176.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 30c | 144.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked No | 70c | 143.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 11c | 137.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 37c | 134.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…3fdbbacked Yes | 31c | 133.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 273 | 35.9%98 W · 175 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 76c | 117.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 110.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 43c | 109.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 78c | 103.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 21c | 100.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 83.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 82.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 79c | 82.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 75.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 73.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 20c | 71.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…9719backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…edc9backed Yes | 15c | 69.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 65.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…d959backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed No | 77c | 59.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 26c | 59.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 77c | 57.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 55.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 79c | 52.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…c8dfbacked Yes | 26c | 51.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 80c | 51.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 49.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 25c | 48.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2721backed No | 79c | 48.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 21c | 48.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 25c | 47.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 73c | 47.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 73c | 39.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 73c | 38.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 35.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 79c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…5e1abacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf3…369dbacked No | 77c | 29.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 79c | 28.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked No | 77c | 26.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…3865backed No | 75c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 20.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 20.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…261cbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ee…e90bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.