MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1cd6dfad4dec81a316310c7aedc80d4e264cc49487a7748feefc7bbc39f766e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1961…c461backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.6 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 673$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 627.96$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.61 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 12c | 386.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 280.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 249.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 232.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 63c | 227.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 209.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 191$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 166.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 149.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 133.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 126.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 126.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 106.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 105.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 84.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 83.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 74.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 70.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 68.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Doosan Bears | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 45.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 43.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 40.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 38.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 35.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2977backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…073ebacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 32.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 31.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 24.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 23.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 23.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…a6a9backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…0570backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 64c | 16.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.