Lol · resolved market
LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd211153f8d0505e10965c69d13ff77613b2cdc0c56ed2ad08902fe7e8cdb39f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PCIFIC of PCIFIC , Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked PCIFIC | 74c | 2,530$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.67 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…0445backed Team Phoenix | 17c | 1,013$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Phoenix | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,221 | 35.9%438 W · 783 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed PCIFIC | 78c | 896.87$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.31 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Phoenix | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Phoenix | 28c | 750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Phoenix | 20c | 736.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed PCIFIC | 77c | 690.05$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Phoenix | 16c | 528.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 498.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Phoenix | 26c | 498.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Phoenix | 15c | 439.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Team Phoenix | 26c | 231.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Team Phoenix | 12c | 169.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 545 | 45.7%249 W · 296 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed PCIFIC | 76c | 150.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Phoenix | 24c | 144$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Phoenix | 23c | 133.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed PCIFIC | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Phoenix | 20c | 117.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…e478backed Team Phoenix | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…783cbacked PCIFIC | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Phoenix | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Phoenix | 29c | 43.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Team Phoenix | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked PCIFIC | 76c | 38.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 167 | 60.5%101 W · 66 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed PCIFIC | 76c | 37.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed PCIFIC | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked PCIFIC | 76c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)PCIFIC won
- Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-2.5) vs Team Phoenix (+2.5)PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.