TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
PCIFIC of PCIFIC , Team Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,627 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Team Phoenix13c6,454$807 inLost-$806.794740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Phoenix13c3,073$397 inLost-$397.262,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Phoenix10c2,991$299 inLost-$299.132,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2848…8fa6backed Team Phoenix1c2,620$25 inLost-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Phoenix17c2,400$416 inLost-$41647136.9%174 W · 297 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Team Phoenix12c2,367$284 inLost-$2848938.2%34 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Phoenix1c1,670$17 inLost-$16.781,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Team Phoenix12c1,500$180 inLost-$1801,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Team Phoenix1c1,199$14 inLost-$14.339437.2%35 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Phoenix12c1,180$142 inLost-$141.571,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1d…c307backed Team Phoenix13c755.77$98 inLost-$98.253727%10 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Phoenix14c613.85$86 inLost-$85.941,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Team Phoenix14c555.67$78 inLost-$77.794626.1%12 W · 34 L-9.3wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Team Phoenix14c499$69 inLost-$68.842352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd957…acd3backed Team Phoenix14c393.21$54 inLost-$54.3970%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd7d4…8254backed Team Phoenix6c378.07$24 inLost-$23.64812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Team Phoenix10c363$36 inLost-$35.6846451.7%240 W · 224 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Team Phoenix3c345$10 inLost-$10.351497.4%11 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Phoenix7c342.49$25 inLost-$25.22,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Phoenix12c340.74$41 inLost-$40.891,32038.6%510 W · 810 L-66.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Team Phoenix15c333$50 inLost-$49.9513839.9%55 W · 83 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Team Phoenix13c322.54$41 inLost-$40.9340551.1%207 W · 198 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Phoenix11c174$19 inLost-$19.1456034.8%195 W · 365 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Team Phoenix13c164.74$22 inLost-$22.0116841.7%70 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Team Phoenix13c146.14$19 inLost-$19.145337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Team Phoenix15c126.32$18 inLost-$18.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae6…426ebacked Team Phoenix8c125$10 inLost-$101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Team Phoenix14c120$17 inLost-$16.854932.4%178 W · 371 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Team Phoenix13c97.88$13 inLost-$12.728637.2%32 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Team Phoenix15c95.97$14 inLost-$14.24447.7%21 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Team Phoenix12c94.68$11 inLost-$11.361040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Team Phoenix15c94.5$14 inLost-$14.24744.7%21 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Team Phoenix13c91$12 inLost-$11.8313435.1%47 W · 87 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Phoenix16c79.97$13 inLost-$12.81,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42b…b143backed Team Phoenix14c75$11 inLost-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.