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Lol · resolved market

LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PCIFIC of PCIFIC , Team Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked PCIFIC 74c2,530$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.181,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe415…0445backed Team Phoenix33c2,258$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.641435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Phoenix19c1,274$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.892,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed PCIFIC 77c1,226$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.252,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Team Phoenix22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed PCIFIC 61c992.46$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed PCIFIC 78c871.79$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7910247.1%48 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Team Phoenix24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043543.2%188 W · 247 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Team Phoenix8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6416833.9%57 W · 111 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Phoenix28c750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21047136.9%174 W · 297 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked PCIFIC 76c706.99$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.592,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed Team Phoenix16c636.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019335.2%68 W · 125 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PCIFIC 74c554.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.051,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Team Phoenix19c534.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031321.1%66 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53da…7603backed Team Phoenix16c499.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3615862.7%99 W · 59 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Phoenix26c498.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.611,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Phoenix18c469.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.652,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Phoenix14c345.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.311,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Phoenix16c308.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.361,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Team Phoenix26c231.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606137.7%23 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Phoenix5c198.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ae…b263backed PCIFIC 78c190.58$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc8…c4f4backed Team Phoenix26c174.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.02922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked Team Phoenix21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516540.6%67 W · 98 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Phoenix24c144$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.562,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Team Phoenix9c142.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3515031.3%47 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Phoenix23c133.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6830437.8%115 W · 189 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed PCIFIC 77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8722748.9%111 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3c…2bc2backed Team Phoenix24c95.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.032334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Team Phoenix23c87.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.235742.9%153 W · 204 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed PCIFIC 76c81.59$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5836541.9%153 W · 212 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Phoenix29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PCIFIC 77c73.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Phoenix28c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.521,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed PCIFIC 76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416462.2%102 W · 62 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PCIFIC 75c52.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.972,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed PCIFIC 69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Phoenix22c49.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2388949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed PCIFIC 75c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7716032.5%52 W · 108 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Phoenix29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9261042.5%259 W · 351 L-52.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked PCIFIC 77c39.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9816760.5%101 W · 66 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed PCIFIC 75c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7862851%320 W · 308 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…5badbacked PCIFIC 77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9713963.3%88 W · 51 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed PCIFIC 78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.649538.9%37 W · 58 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked PCIFIC 63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2521544.7%96 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked PCIFIC 71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d89…2b45backed PCIFIC 74c14.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.894866.7%32 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.