Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817be646ec1b2836d40cee8e968d864a226416c9b63e14f7394073dbee94aff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe75d…a961backed Under | 50c | 3,839$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 49c | 3,426$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.55 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9f…e9d5backed Under | 47c | 3,183$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d9c9backed Over | 50c | 2,986$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 43c | 2,965$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Over | 57c | 2,699$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.43 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -9.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Over | 52c | 2,123$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.79 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 51c | 1,665$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.31 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Under | 60c | 1,629$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 48c | 1,611$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.99 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…6653backed Under | 48c | 1,610$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 1,506$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.14 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…fc58backed Under | 51c | 1,485$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 45c | 1,284$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.13 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 54c | 1,252$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 215 | 40%86 W · 129 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Under | 69c | 1,234$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Over | 54c | 1,215$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 1,200$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Under | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 49c | 935.02$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.74 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked Over | 44c | 920.45$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…ddacbacked Under | 58c | 910.09$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 59c | 691$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.31 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Over | 42c | 546.62$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 213 | 44.6%95 W · 118 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 512.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.76 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…a01dbacked Under | 50c | 495.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 56c | 318$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 37c | 304.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 39c | 292.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 40c | 270.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 60c | 254.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 251.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 247.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Under | 60c | 247$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Under | 58c | 245.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 58c | 238$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 62c | 203.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 47c | 196.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…682abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 20c | 187.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 51c | 177$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 46c | 176$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 54c | 171.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 440 | 39.5%174 W · 266 L | -25.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Under | 63c | 150.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 55c | 138.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 45c | 127.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 167 | 60.5%101 W · 66 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6b32backed Under | 49c | 122.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Over | 51c | 118.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Under | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 49c | 101.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 29c | 81.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 48c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 49c | 79.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Under | 58c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Under | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 38c | 70.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 55c | 63.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…2b5dbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +279.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 38c | 60.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Over | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 302 | 53.6%162 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…09adbacked Under | 49c | 46.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…53c6backed Over | 40c | 45.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 29c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Under | 50c | 36.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Over | 50c | 35.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 31.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 31.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 47c | 29.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…ae79backed Under | 75c | 28.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)PCIFIC won
- Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-2.5) vs Team Phoenix (+2.5)PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 3 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.