Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd22bd964a546b96992d651c72b41338b25be1a83d762066498d3fb5b89d44409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 62c | 642.82$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 563.14$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.46 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…a45abacked No | 9c | 370.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 76c | 302.35$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 60c | 259.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 237.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 232.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 44c | 212.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 72c | 209.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 25c | 198.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 41c | 192.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 29c | 184.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 176.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed Yes | 50c | 174.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 156.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 12c | 137.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 39c | 121.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 69c | 106.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 66c | 103.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 74c | 95.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 115 | 69.6%80 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 87.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 32c | 82.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…b2b8backed Yes | 43c | 75.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 40c | 74.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 65c | 73.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…92c3backed Yes | 78c | 73.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 72.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 31c | 71.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 62c | 66.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…293dbacked No | 62c | 65.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…7c09backed No | 58c | 64.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 67c | 57.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 45c | 57.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 42c | 57.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 42c | 56.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 34c | 55.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 45c | 51.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 49.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 66c | 49.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…c8ddbacked No | 21c | 49.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed No | 70c | 48.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 58c | 47.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 40c | 46.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 63c | 46.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked Yes | 39c | 46.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 34c | 46.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 45.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 56c | 43.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…51f6backed Yes | 42c | 42.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 43c | 42.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 86 | 23.3%20 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 34c | 41.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 39.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed Yes | 46c | 39.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 40c | 37.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…e908backed Yes | 50c | 37.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 35.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 38c | 35.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 35.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 65c | 34.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…3048backed No | 61c | 34.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 64c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 38c | 29.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7360…1848backed Yes | 58c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…84afbacked Yes | 68c | 26.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 63c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…3f76backed Yes | 80c | 24.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed No | 60c | 23.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 61c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed No | 63c | 23.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 51c | 22.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 55c | 22.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 75c | 22.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…929bbacked Yes | 77c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…59aebacked Yes | 49c | 20.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 62c | 19.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…80edbacked Yes | 54c | 19.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 18.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 62c | 18.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 61c | 17.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…621ebacked No | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…b4e1backed No | 59c | 17.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 16.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.