CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BANGARANGA vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2349c46d2bd17b432a0e7bb4d7bb3c0cf1f9b3c1cbf601c52a42f79a960f286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- maybeof BANGARANGA, maybe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked maybe | 51c | 3,539$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.9 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked BANGARANGA | 46c | 2,013$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.5 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BANGARANGA | 61c | 555.46$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.2 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BANGARANGA | 58c | 530$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed BANGARANGA | 60c | 390.78$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed maybe | 36c | 276.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BANGARANGA | 60c | 249.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed maybe | 14c | 248.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BANGARANGA | 27c | 237.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BANGARANGA | 39c | 198.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…94d0backed BANGARANGA | 20c | 187.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…707fbacked maybe | 78c | 171.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BANGARANGA | 61c | 162.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed BANGARANGA | 9c | 150.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked maybe | 37c | 109.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked BANGARANGA | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BANGARANGA | 50c | 93.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed maybe | 33c | 87.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked BANGARANGA | 54c | 67.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed BANGARANGA | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BANGARANGA | 73c | 59.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…aa04backed maybe | 29c | 51.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BANGARANGA | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…ba9ebacked maybe | 51c | 49.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BANGARANGA | 62c | 41.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BANGARANGA | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BANGARANGA | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked maybe | 55c | 33.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…a859backed maybe | 63c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked maybe | 59c | 30.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked BANGARANGA | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed maybe | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked BANGARANGA | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -9.5wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked BANGARANGA | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed BANGARANGA | 51c | 23.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed BANGARANGA | 58c | 18.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BANGARANGA vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BANGARANGA vs maybe - Map 2 Winnermaybe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.