Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. McNeese State Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3e9c15a66b4336099b854436b9c98251dfcb12ca01e7ec7b44662dd1fb67ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNeese State Cowboysof Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, McNeese State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed McNeese State Cowboys | 57c | 1,381$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 36c | 1,109$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 19c | 1,067$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 24c | 739.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed McNeese State Cowboys | 80c | 469.7$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 35c | 352.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed McNeese State Cowboys | 71c | 313.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 276$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 76c | 248$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed McNeese State Cowboys | 68c | 209.8$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 17c | 196.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 18c | 138.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 71c | 131.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed McNeese State Cowboys | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 31c | 113.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 35c | 111.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 35c | 109.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed McNeese State Cowboys | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed McNeese State Cowboys | 76c | 87.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 31c | 65.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed McNeese State Cowboys | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed McNeese State Cowboys | 67c | 52.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed McNeese State Cowboys | 65c | 23.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. McNeese State Cowboysthis page
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-10.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. McNeese State Cowboys: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.