MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4755e4663623d2f324f51c4f3cbae78add4d45b4cb9a9fb8196c96951425085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Braves, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 55c | 10,937$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,936.58 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Braves | 44c | 10,909$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.83 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 46c | 8,525$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.67 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 6c | 6,861$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Royals | 54c | 6,352$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Braves | 2c | 3,083$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Braves | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Royals | 53c | 2,924$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.25 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Royals | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 46c | 2,636$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.56 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Braves | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 54c | 2,065$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 33c | 2,030$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Royals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 53c | 1,985$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71d…500dbacked Braves | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 46c | 1,677$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.57 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 4c | 1,571$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Royals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Braves | 44c | 1,200$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 65c | 1,199$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.42 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 6c | 1,122$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Royals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Braves | 46c | 989.13$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 47c | 960.82$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.96 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Royals | 54c | 896$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.16 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…ddeabacked Royals | 53c | 851$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…660ebacked Royals | 53c | 849$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves | 8c | 740$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Royals | 61c | 645.7$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Royals | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Royals | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Braves | 28c | 529.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Royals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Braves | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Royals | 55c | 495.76$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Braves | 46c | 476.91$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 52c | 450$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Royals | 53c | 384$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 52c | 329.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Royals | 77c | 316.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Braves | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 46c | 299.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 53c | 274.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Braves | 46c | 266.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 53c | 243.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 74c | 241.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Braves | 45c | 234$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Royals | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Braves | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Braves | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Braves | 46c | 218.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Royals | 54c | 212.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Royals | 53c | 209.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Braves | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Braves | 23c | 193.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 24c | 189$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 46c | 175.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Braves | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Royals | 73c | 169$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Royals | 73c | 169$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Braves | 35c | 154.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Braves | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Braves | 47c | 148.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Royals | 55c | 134$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…c19cbacked Braves | 48c | 127.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Braves | 46c | 121.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…7da4backed Braves | 47c | 118.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…05adbacked Royals | 54c | 115.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…94cebacked Braves | 47c | 114.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…0b39backed Royals | 54c | 110.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Royals | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6439…d173backed Braves | 47c | 104.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Royals | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…7816backed Royals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Braves | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8602…d8f0backed Braves | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…1d2dbacked Braves | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Royals | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Braves | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…1c6bbacked Royals | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…ec9ebacked Braves | 47c | 66.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a90…975bbacked Braves | 47c | 66.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Braves | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.