Tennis · resolved market
Vicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Lukas Neumayer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd622cee2fd683b851295ba683572a0b3390ce51d16242b145e1109e4e7d4c6f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lukas Neumayerof Jacopo Vasami, Lukas Neumayer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jacopo Vasami | 35c | 5,378$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.57 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 74c | 2,558$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.42 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 2,032$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.06 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jacopo Vasami | 24c | 1,639$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.89 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jacopo Vasami | 21c | 1,500$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.97 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lukas Neumayer | 65c | 1,267$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.69 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jacopo Vasami | 18c | 1,224$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jacopo Vasami | 28c | 1,107$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Jacopo Vasami | 13c | 999.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacopo Vasami | 32c | 854.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Jacopo Vasami | 14c | 759.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lukas Neumayer | 62c | 607.03$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lukas Neumayer | 76c | 600.31$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 441.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 64c | 422.77$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Jacopo Vasami | 19c | 411.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Jacopo Vasami | 17c | 386$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jacopo Vasami | 28c | 358.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Jacopo Vasami | 12c | 325.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 139 | 28.1%39 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lukas Neumayer | 66c | 286.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…0dedbacked Jacopo Vasami | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Jacopo Vasami | 38c | 255.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 179.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Jacopo Vasami | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lukas Neumayer | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Lukas Neumayer | 66c | 152.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jacopo Vasami | 33c | 151.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jacopo Vasami | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jacopo Vasami | 26c | 121.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…7d02backed Jacopo Vasami | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 107.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Lukas Neumayer | 66c | 103.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Jacopo Vasami | 36c | 102.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lukas Neumayer | 76c | 98.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lukas Neumayer | 78c | 95.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 95.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Jacopo Vasami | 31c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 160 | 28.8%46 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Jacopo Vasami | 22c | 79.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Lukas Neumayer | 77c | 78.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jacopo Vasami | 25c | 71.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Jacopo Vasami | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Lukas Neumayer | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Jacopo Vasami | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Jacopo Vasami | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Jacopo Vasami | 37c | 55.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Jacopo Vasami | 28c | 53.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jacopo Vasami | 22c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Jacopo Vasami | 35c | 44.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Lukas Neumayer | 66c | 40.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 40.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…02ffbacked Jacopo Vasami | 35c | 39.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lukas Neumayer | 60c | 38.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lukas Neumayer | 77c | 37.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Jacopo Vasami | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Jacopo Vasami | 34c | 29.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lukas Neumayer | 76c | 21.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lukas Neumayer | 75c | 21.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.