Tennis · resolved market
ITF Galati: Giulia Safina Popa vs Chiara Fornasieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd679791acc6cb77361b2d04479e33f52522f551f8be3fc009c0f066e50f2e73a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giulia Safina Popaof Giulia Safina Popa, Chiara Fornasieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 77c | 7,609$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.76 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chiara Fornasieri | 23c | 3,288$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.95 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Chiara Fornasieri | 29c | 2,291$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.88 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Chiara Fornasieri | 12c | 1,956$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Chiara Fornasieri | 17c | 1,135$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chiara Fornasieri | 24c | 939.37$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 33c | 922.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 17c | 893.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 71c | 769.08$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 78c | 660$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Giulia Safina Popa | 75c | 619.19$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giulia Safina Popa | 68c | 472.42$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Chiara Fornasieri | 31c | 341.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Giulia Safina Popa | 71c | 325.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 11c | 313.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Chiara Fornasieri | 31c | 273.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chiara Fornasieri | 21c | 267.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 33c | 247.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chiara Fornasieri | 29c | 232.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 71c | 203.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 34c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Giulia Safina Popa | 78c | 189$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 34c | 180.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 33c | 170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Giulia Safina Popa | 75c | 152.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 209 | 53.6%112 W · 97 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Giulia Safina Popa | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Giulia Safina Popa | 76c | 144.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 16c | 143.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 23c | 133.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Giulia Safina Popa | 72c | 125.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chiara Fornasieri | 20c | 120.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 31c | 97.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Giulia Safina Popa | 75c | 87.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chiara Fornasieri | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Giulia Safina Popa | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 31c | 60.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Chiara Fornasieri | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed Giulia Safina Popa | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Giulia Safina Popa | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Giulia Safina Popa | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Giulia Safina Popa | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Giulia Safina Popa | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Giulia Safina Popa | 80c | 30.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Giulia Safina Popa | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Giulia Safina Popa | 79c | 27.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Giulia Safina Popa | 69c | 21.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Giulia Safina Popa | 70c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Giulia Safina Popa | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Giulia Safina Popa | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Giulia Safina Popa | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Giulia Safina Popa | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.