MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71b8c2851db25c4ac417ef2792c397a6dccc403502326f009182d158b4f14d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 9,455$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,211.1 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 2,398$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.9 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 45c | 2,367$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.15 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,255$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,965$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.15 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 44c | 1,178$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.44 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 873.77$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.2 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 781.37$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.62 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 705$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 690.1$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 45c | 644.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 614.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 471.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 431.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 45c | 357.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 350$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 45c | 334$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 333.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 295.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 277.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 46c | 261.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 55c | 223.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 45c | 205.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…f853backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 195.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 50c | 174.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 45c | 150.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 126.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 50c | 117.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 116.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 55c | 94.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 89.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Under | 51c | 89.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 89.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 88.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 45c | 86.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 46c | 82.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 45c | 72.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 52c | 67.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…3e4dbacked Under | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Under | 46c | 63.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Over | 50c | 47.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 45.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 49c | 41.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…6774backed Over | 56c | 39.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 38.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…75aebacked Under | 51c | 37.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 53c | 36.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…8fe8backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 49c | 35.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…21ccbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 52c | 35.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 55c | 34.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 33.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 55c | 32.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 30.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 45c | 29.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…2e1abacked Under | 42c | 27.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 46c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 42c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 61c | 24.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 51c | 23.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…8171backed Over | 53c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 76c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White SoxTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.