MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd76c278d4be728a24d563988fca0addd243eca72f19c4fa302e89c0e236e1f61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 46c | 30,194$13,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,889.33 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Padres | 54c | 27,012$14,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,425.58 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Nationals | 47c | 9,383$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.17 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.98 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 54c | 2,914$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 54c | 2,446$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.33 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 53c | 2,311$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.32 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Padres | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Nationals | 45c | 1,733$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.07 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 7c | 1,625$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 55c | 1,276$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.69 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Nationals | 10c | 1,214$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Padres | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 17c | 960.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 46c | 897$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.62 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Padres | 54c | 799.98$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 46c | 730.66$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 54c | 729.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Padres | 54c | 642$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Nationals | 34c | 618.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.6 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 46c | 600$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Nationals | 46c | 590.63$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.72 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Padres | 54c | 569.64$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Padres | 55c | 509.09$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 48c | 506.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 68c | 483.82$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Nationals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Nationals | 46c | 417.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 48c | 385.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Nationals | 9c | 385$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 54c | 342.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 46c | 333$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Padres | 53c | 241.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 53c | 214$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nationals | 47c | 212.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Padres | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Padres | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 52c | 192.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Nationals | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Nationals | 48c | 179.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 46c | 174$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…554fbacked Padres | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…6102backed Nationals | 50c | 103.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…1b19backed Nationals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Padres | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Padres | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…5c87backed Padres | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 45c | 98.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Nationals | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Padres | 55c | 81.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 74c | 72.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…ac40backed Padres | 57c | 66.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…fe4bbacked Padres | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fde…bdc8backed Nationals | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…1573backed Padres | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…d138backed Nationals | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…4a4ebacked Nationals | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…01b8backed Padres | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Padres | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…0b0dbacked Nationals | 47c | 52.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Nationals | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nationals | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Padres | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Nationals | 41c | 48.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Nationals | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Nationals | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Padres | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Padres | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Padres | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 50c | 33.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Nationals | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…eb0abacked Padres | 55c | 31.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…275cbacked Nationals | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…b900backed Padres | 55c | 24.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…6a60backed Nationals | 50c | 22.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…0dd0backed Padres | 51c | 22.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…892ebacked Nationals | 50c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…9f09backed Padres | 51c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…f9cabacked Nationals | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd99…b567backed Nationals | 47c | 22.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.