Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd877c4d1854d7d01e9a6d6ca053420116fb6933d9fd9e418cb5cef2a0f82f4e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof L1ga Team, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed L1ga Team | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.9 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 9,444$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.9 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 43c | 6,842$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.66 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed L1ga Team | 48c | 6,326$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.95 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 4,391$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.63 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 48c | 4,177$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 49c | 3,333$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.37 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 56c | 3,221$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.38 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 3,182$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.95 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked REKONIX | 45c | 3,080$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.88 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed REKONIX | 46c | 2,965$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.31 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed L1ga Team | 48c | 2,040$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.71 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 1,762$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.21 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…b01bbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 1,700$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed REKONIX | 44c | 1,640$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.67 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked REKONIX | 54c | 1,375$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed REKONIX | 43c | 1,314$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.49 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed REKONIX | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed REKONIX | 48c | 1,105$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 36c | 1,043$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.95 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked L1ga Team | 57c | 995$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.15 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed REKONIX | 43c | 992$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.39 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 46c | 991.75$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed REKONIX | 43c | 961$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.94 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed L1ga Team | 50c | 920$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked REKONIX | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed L1ga Team | 57c | 884.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed REKONIX | 52c | 873.79$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.42 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed REKONIX | 46c | 862$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.48 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team | 60c | 833.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed REKONIX | 44c | 825.1$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 53c | 755.96$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed L1ga Team | 42c | 749.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed REKONIX | 46c | 719.4$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed L1ga Team | 36c | 700$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 27c | 700$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed REKONIX | 70c | 681.34$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed REKONIX | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed L1ga Team | 60c | 637.27$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.36 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed REKONIX | 70c | 622.2$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.97 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed REKONIX | 45c | 609.72$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.35 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed REKONIX | 45c | 524.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked REKONIX | 44c | 510.9$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed REKONIX | 43c | 502.69$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.53 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed REKONIX | 44c | 500$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed REKONIX | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed REKONIX | 43c | 486.11$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked REKONIX | 44c | 460.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.13 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX | 40c | 447.8$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed L1ga Team | 28c | 434.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 425.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 51c | 388.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed REKONIX | 61c | 383.52$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked REKONIX | 53c | 377.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed REKONIX | 55c | 355.1$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed REKONIX | 49c | 319.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed REKONIX | 64c | 309.61$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked REKONIX | 51c | 306.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed REKONIX | 43c | 301.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed L1ga Team | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX | 61c | 265.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed L1ga Team | 19c | 256$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked REKONIX | 40c | 240$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked REKONIX | 38c | 225.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked REKONIX | 46c | 216.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…7b12backed L1ga Team | 33c | 214.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed REKONIX | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 45c | 208.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 57c | 200.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 188.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked REKONIX | 68c | 182.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed L1ga Team | 58c | 178.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team | 35c | 178.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed L1ga Team | 48c | 167.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked REKONIX | 43c | 162.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed L1ga Team | 63c | 158.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 61.8%144 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked REKONIX | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed REKONIX | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked REKONIX | 54c | 148.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked REKONIX | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed REKONIX | 65c | 134.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked L1ga Team | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed L1ga Team | 59c | 128.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed REKONIX | 39c | 126.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked REKONIX | 44c | 124.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed REKONIX | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked REKONIX | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked REKONIX | 41c | 109.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked REKONIX | 40c | 107.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked L1ga Team | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed L1ga Team | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked REKONIX | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed REKONIX | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 95.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - Games of the Future Group DREKONIX won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.