CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd89c31fd9765f319d520c5a331c36a47a66b268c17614e47ccca00aa612c9d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 8c | 22,183$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…59ffbacked Heroic | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Heroic | 3c | 2,954$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…6b13backed Heroic | 1c | 2,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…2dabbacked Heroic | 60c | 1,752$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,211$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.95 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Heroic | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 7c | 1,125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…b48fbacked B8 | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.2 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 55c | 1,105$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.89 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ff…2561backed Heroic | 2c | 1,016$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Heroic | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 15c | 941.24$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.26 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed B8 | 62c | 797.15$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.92 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed B8 | 46c | 757.54$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.07 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 3c | 613.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 38c | 570.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 58c | 500$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked B8 | 68c | 469.49$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heroic | 11c | 465$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked B8 | 51c | 365.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…7b83backed Heroic | 29c | 249.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Heroic | 51c | 221.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed B8 | 65c | 192.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 9c | 185.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 26c | 165.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 12c | 146.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 8c | 139.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 8c | 138.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 11c | 117$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked B8 | 42c | 114.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed B8 | 49c | 107.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed B8 | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Heroic | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Heroic | 37c | 82.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked B8 | 79c | 82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked B8 | 71c | 63.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heroic | 22c | 46.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Heroic | 32c | 44.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed B8 | 67c | 35.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked B8 | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed B8 | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.