Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8bb3984d54e1f0ddfe20df7c3daa6cc14648c6379561622b8630ed1d53e04a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 48c | 7,480$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 6,001$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 5,200$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.78 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 4,067$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.8 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 2,250$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 1,185$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.08 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 42c | 177.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 40c | 69.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 49c | 51.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 48c | 48.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 39.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…6471backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 54c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 52c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 58c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)FC Arouca won
- Spread: FC Arouca (-2.5)FC Arouca won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)FC Arouca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.