Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd91549e1bfca9a5cf7150a6f91b714a4ca6ce659e2aa94b7afbef70d16be1798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed 1win | 57c | 11,463$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.88 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MODUS | 51c | 4,379$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MODUS | 53c | 3,889$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.52 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MODUS | 44c | 3,779$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.98 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 42c | 1,449$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.52 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MODUS | 62c | 1,446$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.03 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed 1win | 38c | 1,217$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.18 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MODUS | 67c | 1,053$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.26 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked MODUS | 30c | 996.38$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MODUS | 46c | 934.02$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.25 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 51c | 810.47$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 74c | 806.69$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.24 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked 1win | 71c | 791.13$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked 1win | 70c | 736.74$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.15 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MODUS | 35c | 716.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS | 41c | 710.53$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.05 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MODUS | 54c | 686.84$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.72 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MODUS | 53c | 560.19$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS | 38c | 556.74$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 1win | 66c | 555.83$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS | 64c | 553.92$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.91 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked 1win | 73c | 539.91$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked 1win | 38c | 512.9$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.39 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 31c | 501.07$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MODUS | 71c | 491.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed MODUS | 27c | 483.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked 1win | 27c | 461.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.06 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 1win | 52c | 394.31$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed MODUS | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MODUS | 53c | 348.53$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MODUS | 7c | 335.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked 1win | 42c | 335.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed MODUS | 65c | 299.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MODUS | 48c | 297.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MODUS | 33c | 292.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked 1win | 45c | 289.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed 1win | 58c | 258.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 54c | 255.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed 1win | 44c | 227.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed 1win | 45c | 212.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MODUS | 40c | 209.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked MODUS | 41c | 202.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MODUS | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MODUS | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked MODUS | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 1win | 56c | 194.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MODUS | 57c | 188.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked MODUS | 73c | 180.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed MODUS | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed MODUS | 29c | 171.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed 1win | 43c | 161.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MODUS | 35c | 138.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed MODUS | 19c | 137.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed 1win | 74c | 133.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked MODUS | 51c | 123.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed MODUS | 60c | 120.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed MODUS | 49c | 114.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…f645backed MODUS | 11c | 111.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked MODUS | 16c | 105.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 1win | 29c | 100.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked MODUS | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MODUS | 63c | 99.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 62c | 98.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed MODUS | 47c | 95.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed 1win | 50c | 95.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 36c | 91.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MODUS | 67c | 82.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked MODUS | 22c | 79.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed 1win | 74c | 76.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked MODUS | 61c | 63.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 1win | 35c | 62.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…8562backed MODUS | 24c | 60.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 68c | 55.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked 1win | 74c | 49.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked 1win | 50c | 45.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked MODUS | 36c | 41.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 1win | 37c | 40.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed MODUS | 71c | 29.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed MODUS | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed 1win | 49c | 29.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed MODUS | 51c | 29.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed 1win | 47c | 28.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed MODUS | 51c | 28.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 1win | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MODUS | 77c | 25.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked MODUS | 54c | 22.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked 1win | 56c | 20.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed 1win | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…9468backed 1win | 78c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.