NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9beb5636102fde1009a3d6921b9dbe8cc926d92055c04ab2746d4ecf1038238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Clippers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15d9…79b8backed Mavericks | 56c | 10,004$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…0bcfbacked Clippers | 44c | 9,999$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Clippers | 27c | 4,777$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.06 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Mavericks | 58c | 4,194$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.41 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers | 38c | 1,810$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.81 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Clippers | 8c | 1,666$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers | 43c | 1,509$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.71 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Clippers | 2c | 1,425$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 69c | 1,341$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Clippers | 10c | 1,269$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Clippers | 31c | 1,255$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers | 29c | 1,179$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.45 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Mavericks | 64c | 1,146$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.98 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Mavericks | 61c | 1,090$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Mavericks | 71c | 1,006$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Clippers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.06 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clippers | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks | 56c | 999.8$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.96 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Clippers | 21c | 998.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Clippers | 34c | 888.34$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 74c | 857.55$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Clippers | 11c | 788.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Clippers | 43c | 727.69$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Mavericks | 63c | 636.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.53 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Clippers | 20c | 632.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Clippers | 6c | 595.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Clippers | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 58c | 560.3$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Mavericks | 77c | 549.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Mavericks | 61c | 524.49$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers | 41c | 500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Clippers | 41c | 485.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Clippers | 28c | 481.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Clippers | 19c | 445.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Clippers | 42c | 435.45$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…a8c6backed Clippers | 40c | 409.33$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Mavericks | 61c | 409.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Clippers | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Mavericks | 60c | 365.31$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Clippers | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Clippers | 40c | 350.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Mavericks | 62c | 323.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Clippers | 29c | 319$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks | 61c | 314.49$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Mavericks | 67c | 309$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Clippers | 22c | 306.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Clippers | 20c | 292.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Mavericks | 80c | 289.68$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Clippers | 23c | 280$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Mavericks | 71c | 266.06$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…c405backed Mavericks | 78c | 257.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Clippers | 41c | 254.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Clippers | 40c | 247.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 40c | 244.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Mavericks | 57c | 220$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Mavericks | 62c | 207.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 59c | 195.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Clippers | 43c | 188$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Clippers | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Clippers | 12c | 174.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Mavericks | 75c | 172.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Clippers | 43c | 172.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…cdf5backed Mavericks | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Mavericks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Mavericks | 61c | 162.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Clippers | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Clippers | 31c | 159.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Clippers | 13c | 151.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…7166backed Mavericks | 60c | 146.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…34f8backed Clippers | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…a3ffbacked Mavericks | 60c | 143.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Clippers | 29c | 141$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Clippers | 22c | 136.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Clippers | 22c | 136.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…6cc5backed Mavericks | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 163 | 60.7%99 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…cefcbacked Clippers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…0d37backed Clippers | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clippers | 24c | 115$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfc…94b3backed Mavericks | 67c | 111.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Clippers | 38c | 111.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Clippers | 38c | 111.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Clippers | 40c | 105.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Clippers | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…201bbacked Clippers | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Clippers | 25c | 101.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Mavericks | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Mavericks | 60c | 100.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mavericks | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Clippers | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…555fbacked Clippers | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…009dbacked Mavericks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Clippers | 43c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Clippers | 41c | 84.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Mavericks | 60c | 83.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Mavericks | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Clippers | 38c | 80.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Clippers | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Mavericks | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.