Tennis · resolved market
Rome: Federico Bondioli vs Andrea Guerrieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda83cd487f48e85e53b0b1f6aa6b24ef4e6ac3eff67604923777d49a9aaea42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Guerrieriof Federico Bondioli, Andrea Guerrieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 55c | 6,390$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Federico Bondioli | 27c | 3,586$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.74 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Federico Bondioli | 46c | 2,396$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.32 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federico Bondioli | 36c | 2,110$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.44 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Federico Bondioli | 5c | 1,390$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Federico Bondioli | 43c | 1,338$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.18 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Guerrieri | 55c | 1,271$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Federico Bondioli | 32c | 1,009$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.26 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Federico Bondioli | 21c | 625.58$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrea Guerrieri | 77c | 439.3$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Federico Bondioli | 22c | 437.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Federico Bondioli | 40c | 390$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Andrea Guerrieri | 68c | 388.04$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 385.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 56c | 348.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Federico Bondioli | 7c | 262.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Andrea Guerrieri | 78c | 259.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Federico Bondioli | 47c | 236.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Andrea Guerrieri | 51c | 221.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 62c | 208.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrea Guerrieri | 72c | 200.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Federico Bondioli | 44c | 186.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Federico Bondioli | 21c | 180.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Andrea Guerrieri | 64c | 179.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Federico Bondioli | 11c | 173.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Federico Bondioli | 43c | 166.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Federico Bondioli | 65c | 165.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Andrea Guerrieri | 48c | 156.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 264 | 57.6%152 W · 112 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Federico Bondioli | 16c | 143.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Federico Bondioli | 24c | 137.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Federico Bondioli | 51c | 125.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Federico Bondioli | 21c | 118.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Andrea Guerrieri | 56c | 111.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Federico Bondioli | 13c | 104.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Federico Bondioli | 44c | 103.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 52c | 101.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Federico Bondioli | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Federico Bondioli | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andrea Guerrieri | 65c | 99.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 49c | 86.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 51c | 84.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 84.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Federico Bondioli | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Andrea Guerrieri | 50c | 68.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Andrea Guerrieri | 55c | 58.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Federico Bondioli | 44c | 56.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Federico Bondioli | 46c | 55.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Andrea Guerrieri | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Andrea Guerrieri | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Federico Bondioli | 45c | 40.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Andrea Guerrieri | 68c | 38.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 79c | 30.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Federico Bondioli | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Federico Bondioli | 43c | 26.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…63f6backed Federico Bondioli | 44c | 26.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…9389backed Andrea Guerrieri | 61c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rome: Federico Bondioli vs Andrea Guerrierithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bondioli vs GuerrieriGuerrieri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.