MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaa15f287b18f4c57ed272b3966e0194ff37f29aef22a69e0fb1ca2bdb96d474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rays | 58c | 20,000$11,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,539.04 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 43c | 19,993$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,305.35 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 60c | 17,178$10,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,370.79 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Guardians | 40c | 11,111$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.6 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Guardians | 77c | 8,858$6,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.67 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 10c | 8,747$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 59c | 6,649$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 40c | 5,794$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.7 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Guardians | 43c | 5,012$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.84 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 63c | 4,031$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 60c | 3,325$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.71 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Guardians | 43c | 3,264$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.66 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 39c | 2,229$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.5 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 37c | 2,131$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 63c | 2,100$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Rays | 56c | 1,909$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 41c | 1,322$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Guardians | 39c | 1,263$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Rays | 60c | 1,208$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,200$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.14 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Guardians | 41c | 1,067$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.53 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 59c | 1,031$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Rays | 47c | 1,002$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.24 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Guardians | 44c | 1,000$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.76 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Guardians | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 53c | 915.35$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Guardians | 42c | 907.58$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.58 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 15c | 900.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Rays | 69c | 872.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 41c | 730$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.7 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 52c | 678.51$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.21 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 38c | 675.65$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.03 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 60c | 666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rays | 20c | 600$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Guardians | 40c | 580$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.96 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Guardians | 30c | 550$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.64 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 41c | 532.42$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.13 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Rays | 61c | 517.61$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.3 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Guardians | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 41c | 487.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 41c | 474.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.73 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 31c | 436.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.26 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 48c | 360.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Rays | 60c | 352.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 55c | 351$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Rays | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Rays | 65c | 310.77$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 35c | 260.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Guardians | 41c | 250.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed Guardians | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Guardians | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 58c | 231.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Guardians | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Rays | 31c | 205$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Rays | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 42c | 179$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 35c | 168.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rays | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 59c | 151.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Guardians | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 36c | 149.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Guardians | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rays | 61c | 130.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Guardians | 40c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rays | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians | 42c | 119$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rays | 58c | 112.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rays | 60c | 108$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Guardians | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Guardians | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Rays | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 59c | 84.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Rays | 64c | 84.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Rays | 62c | 80.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…73dcbacked Guardians | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rays | 34c | 52.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 67c | 51.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 41c | 50.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rays | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Guardians | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Guardians | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…da8abacked Rays | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Guardians | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 56c | 46.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Rays | 37c | 46.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Guardians | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Guardians | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rays | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Guardians | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.