Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Vilius Gaubas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdabee87ec977b41051ba370e73984dd752be0032e25460d02d0ccddcfedc8c40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Vilius Gaubas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x772f…8145backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 49,176$38,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,257.34 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Vilius Gaubas | 19c | 19,786$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.47 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vilius Gaubas | 16c | 13,709$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.53 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vilius Gaubas | 22c | 6,222$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.78 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vilius Gaubas | 25c | 4,144$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.43 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 4,083$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 3,368$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…dbeabacked Vilius Gaubas | 22c | 2,153$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Vilius Gaubas | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Vilius Gaubas | 16c | 2,064$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Facundo Acosta | 74c | 1,979$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.85 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Vilius Gaubas | 4c | 1,050$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 668 | 30.5%204 W · 464 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…300cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Facundo Acosta | 68c | 987.33$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.58 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 746.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…8172backed Vilius Gaubas | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vilius Gaubas | 25c | 682.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 642.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Vilius Gaubas | 15c | 638.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 402 | 35.8%144 W · 258 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 585$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Vilius Gaubas | 36c | 570.39$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vilius Gaubas | 8c | 439.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 400.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Vilius Gaubas | 13c | 335.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Vilius Gaubas | 15c | 316.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Vilius Gaubas | 10c | 297.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed Facundo Acosta | 66c | 283.33$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 282.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 844 | 68.5%578 W · 266 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Vilius Gaubas | 34c | 211.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 954 | 55.5%529 W · 425 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Vilius Gaubas | 11c | 180.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 177.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Vilius Gaubas | 21c | 175.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 148.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 26c | 128$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 918 | 45.4%417 W · 501 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Vilius Gaubas | 27c | 96.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Vilius Gaubas | 16c | 87.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Vilius Gaubas | 26c | 86.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 393 | 46.8%184 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Vilius Gaubas | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Facundo Acosta | 76c | 77.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vilius Gaubas | 16c | 68.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Vilius Gaubas | 25c | 64.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Vilius Gaubas | 27c | 63.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 361 | 46.3%167 W · 194 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 60.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…0a53backed Vilius Gaubas | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…e2f7backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Facundo Acosta | 66c | 43.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1,016 | 57.7%586 W · 430 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Vilius Gaubas | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Facundo Acosta | 67c | 37.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…178bbacked Vilius Gaubas | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 30.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…cd69backed Facundo Acosta | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 24.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,079 | 56.3%608 W · 471 L | +50.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Facundo Acosta | 66c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 13.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.