Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Ofek Shimanov vs Charlie Robertson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb198bb157931da5c568ba727a2257450c36f5d25c41151e380c7661aa3bc802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ofek Shimanovof Ofek Shimanov, Charlie Robertson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Charlie Robertson | 63c | 5,026$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.78 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 1,020$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.32 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ofek Shimanov | 22c | 890.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.23 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Charlie Robertson | 41c | 667.26$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.21 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Charlie Robertson | 35c | 659.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.68 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ofek Shimanov | 41c | 600.95$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Ofek Shimanov | 41c | 475.78$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.09 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ofek Shimanov | 37c | 450$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 447.64$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.15 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 418.23$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.39 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ofek Shimanov | 23c | 412.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.14 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ofek Shimanov | 23c | 408.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ofek Shimanov | 23c | 367.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Charlie Robertson | 57c | 362.27$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Ofek Shimanov | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Charlie Robertson | 75c | 329.51$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ofek Shimanov | 23c | 325$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 271.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 251.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Charlie Robertson | 47c | 231.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Ofek Shimanov | 48c | 206.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ofek Shimanov | 48c | 201.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 193.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Ofek Shimanov | 23c | 171.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 170.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Charlie Robertson | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 582 | 48.3%281 W · 301 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Charlie Robertson | 61c | 132.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…645fbacked Charlie Robertson | 48c | 104.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Charlie Robertson | 72c | 98.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Ofek Shimanov | 33c | 90.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Charlie Robertson | 47c | 90.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Charlie Robertson | 68c | 73.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Ofek Shimanov | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…02b8backed Ofek Shimanov | 76c | 59.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ofek Shimanov | 34c | 43.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ofek Shimanov | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ofek Shimanov | 32c | 37.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Charlie Robertson | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ofek Shimanov | 33c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ofek Shimanov | 55c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Charlie Robertson | 57c | 27.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Ofek Shimanov | 65c | 27.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Charlie Robertson | 55c | 26.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Ofek Shimanov | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.