Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. James Madison Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc93972edb7bfab4af41cccce3e87322038f295f93be7c5f9ae5eaca29c9852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsof Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, James Madison Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9405…c071backed James Madison Dukes | 80c | 2,009$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.2 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 1,490$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.05 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 40c | 613.27$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 36c | 494$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.18 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 28c | 406.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 47c | 304.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 25c | 280.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 28c | 214.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked James Madison Dukes | 71c | 153.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed James Madison Dukes | 74c | 142.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked James Madison Dukes | 58c | 113.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 17c | 110$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 65c | 106.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 98.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 33c | 83.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 47c | 81.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 21c | 52.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 55c | 46.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 23c | 45.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed James Madison Dukes | 46c | 45.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 37c | 45.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 42c | 44.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked James Madison Dukes | 31c | 44.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed James Madison Dukes | 52c | 43.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked James Madison Dukes | 78c | 43.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 27c | 38.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed James Madison Dukes | 76c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed James Madison Dukes | 73c | 32.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked James Madison Dukes | 79c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…0733backed James Madison Dukes | 70c | 28.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.