NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdce9ed49fb2122be728a967a4663bc4ef391f42ffd43eb84e768c1442664c995
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511a…3e23backed Spurs | 12c | 127,000$15,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Spurs | 14c | 30,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.96 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 6c | 28,696$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Spurs | 13c | 15,393$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.15 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Spurs | 0c | 12,073$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Spurs | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs | 6c | 8,920$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.38 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs | 1c | 8,387$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs | 13c | 8,068$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.54 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs | 13c | 7,259$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Spurs | 13c | 6,613$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.72 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs | 13c | 6,487$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.42 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Spurs | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Spurs | 13c | 4,817$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.68 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Spurs | 13c | 3,444$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.05 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Spurs | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Spurs | 11c | 2,725$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs | 15c | 2,306$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.84 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Spurs | 10c | 2,069$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs | 13c | 1,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs | 8c | 1,407$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Spurs | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Spurs | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Spurs | 15c | 1,130$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Spurs | 13c | 1,062$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Spurs | 13c | 1,056$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs | 10c | 1,042$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Spurs | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Spurs | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Spurs | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Spurs | 8c | 999.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Spurs | 15c | 871.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Spurs | 3c | 869.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 1c | 850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Spurs | 15c | 833.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…6ad8backed Spurs | 4c | 830$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Spurs | 14c | 758.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Spurs | 7c | 745.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Spurs | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs | 11c | 607.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Spurs | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…22b0backed Spurs | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 5c | 596.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs | 3c | 595$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs | 11c | 540.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Spurs | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Spurs | 9c | 461.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Spurs | 8c | 315$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Spurs | 13c | 305.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…e886backed Spurs | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Spurs | 13c | 292.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Spurs | 17c | 252.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Spurs | 14c | 224.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs | 5c | 217$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…114bbacked Spurs | 13c | 211.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Spurs | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…d0dabacked Spurs | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs | 6c | 195.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Spurs | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Spurs | 11c | 152$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Spurs | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Spurs | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Spurs | 13c | 126.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs | 11c | 118$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…6315backed Spurs | 15c | 116.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…92a9backed Spurs | 15c | 113.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Spurs | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Spurs | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Spurs | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…8a0cbacked Spurs | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed Spurs | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Spurs | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 14c | 96.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…639bbacked Spurs | 14c | 88.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfed…9510backed Spurs | 15c | 83.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.