TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Dusan Lajovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteiroof Monteiro, Lajovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Lajovic35c19,744$6,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,948.42,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Monteiro71c14,280$10,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.821,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Monteiro55c12,733$7,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.783342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Lajovic31c7,181$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.9681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lajovic12c4,533$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.7710138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lajovic40c4,476$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.93,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Monteiro59c3,958$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.2948851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Lajovic38c3,789$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.636339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lajovic43c3,426$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.632,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Monteiro53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.986350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Monteiro62c2,888$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.9555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Monteiro53c2,580$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.5994355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lajovic40c2,468$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.446,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Monteiro50c2,224$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.9113852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Lajovic47c1,772$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Lajovic24c1,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Monteiro66c1,517$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.0330241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Lajovic34c1,481$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Monteiro55c1,471$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.9372132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Lajovic48c1,441$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.8129854%161 W · 137 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Lajovic34c1,404$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.981,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Lajovic34c1,322$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.552,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monteiro76c1,258$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.516,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Lajovic24c1,216$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.981,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Lajovic39c1,197$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Monteiro74c1,181$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2611745.3%53 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Lajovic44c1,100$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4747057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Lajovic47c906$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Monteiro54c887.27$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.329264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Lajovic47c835.29$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5976546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Lajovic7c779.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.362,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Monteiro28c713.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.1917936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Lajovic28c699.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19326541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monteiro60c628.91$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c47…1189backed Lajovic50c619.59$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.373455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Monteiro52c607.17$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4430845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Monteiro58c568.64$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6416665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lajovic6c533.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Lajovic47c489.36$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Monteiro41c482.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.473756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Lajovic47c423.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5465949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Monteiro52c414.7$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0643051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Lajovic41c411.24$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Monteiro64c404$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14446553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Lajovic47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18814744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Monteiro73c398$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.744461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Lajovic44c335.07$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8312952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Monteiro30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3338739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Lajovic27c329.25$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.946030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Lajovic47c276$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7233241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Lajovic47c270.21$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12719653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lajovic17c258$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6244429.7%132 W · 312 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Lajovic46c244.89$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11318858%109 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Monteiro67c217.2$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.285057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Lajovic48c207.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Monteiro59c202.57$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5769350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Lajovic35c202.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.733450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Lajovic51c196.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Lajovic48c195$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.665157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…b389backed Lajovic45c186.67$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Lajovic11c162.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8211560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Monteiro77c159.81$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.42,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Lajovic47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Lajovic77c157.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.942,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Lajovic47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.59966.7%66 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Lajovic47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…6a55backed Monteiro68c147.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.133658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lajovic39c144$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.781,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Monteiro53c139$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3318548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Monteiro67c138.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6461953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Monteiro51c136.66$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.858145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7509…23afbacked Monteiro56c135.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Lajovic41c135$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.87839.7%31 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lajovic45c133.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Lajovic48c123$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.524448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lajovic47c121$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.187,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Lajovic23c115.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.11,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Lajovic47c111$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1755641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Lajovic41c107.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.011,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Lajovic48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Monteiro50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Lajovic47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4736261.6%223 W · 139 L+40.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Monteiro55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4526247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b8…1762backed Monteiro56c89.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monteiro55c84.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.877,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lajovic41c77.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Lajovic63c70$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0214949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Lajovic39c65.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29529.5%28 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Monteiro59c63.95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.934,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Monteiro53c60.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.141,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Lajovic26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Lajovic46c56.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2683661%510 W · 326 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2139backed Monteiro55c54.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.954753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Lajovic40c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.172850%14 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Lajovic59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Monteiro69c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3313456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Lajovic46c46.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3753752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Monteiro58c43.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1743749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lajovic47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a9…1637backed Lajovic47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.