Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Warwickshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd99cdde4d8da8e6e5eb1a86712cd5a2668c25d74ae2e47b4a9dd2c1279c1852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warwickshireof Northamptonshire, Warwickshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Warwickshire | 44c | 4,884$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Northamptonshire | 56c | 1,803$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.5 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 46c | 1,584$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.13 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Northamptonshire | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Northamptonshire | 40c | 1,037$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.06 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Northamptonshire | 56c | 981.52$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Northamptonshire | 49c | 510.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warwickshire | 60c | 454.55$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Northamptonshire | 53c | 452.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Northamptonshire | 50c | 403$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Warwickshire | 56c | 389.73$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…5f78backed Northamptonshire | 55c | 367.82$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warwickshire | 69c | 284.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Northamptonshire | 22c | 280.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Warwickshire | 58c | 215$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Warwickshire | 52c | 197$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 203 | 63.5%129 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Warwickshire | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 155.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Warwickshire | 61c | 132.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Northamptonshire | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Warwickshire | 76c | 128.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Northamptonshire | 44c | 126.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Northamptonshire | 24c | 125.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Northamptonshire | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15aa…ea31backed Northamptonshire | 38c | 105.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Northamptonshire | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Northamptonshire | 39c | 100.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Northamptonshire | 54c | 98.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northamptonshire | 38c | 96.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Warwickshire | 61c | 93.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Northamptonshire | 34c | 85.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Warwickshire | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Northamptonshire | 56c | 79.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 61c | 79.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Northamptonshire | 46c | 65.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9b0bbacked Northamptonshire | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Northamptonshire | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Northamptonshire | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Warwickshire | 44c | 56.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Warwickshire | 54c | 52.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Northamptonshire | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Northamptonshire | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Northamptonshire | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Warwickshire | 48c | 44.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Northamptonshire | 51c | 41.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Northamptonshire | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Northamptonshire | 58c | 31.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Northamptonshire | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Northamptonshire | 46c | 29.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Northamptonshire | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Northamptonshire | 56c | 25.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Warwickshire | 68c | 24.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Northamptonshire | 52c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Warwickshire | 76c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.