Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 2: Anton Matusevich vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0dc21049a22a711a1f8637cbc99f57480092054b2319292c917b26d8e381a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Anton Matusevich, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anton Matusevich | 28c | 7,669$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.7 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arthur Gea | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Anton Matusevich | 46c | 1,294$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.05 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anton Matusevich | 29c | 1,164$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.34 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Anton Matusevich | 42c | 990.2$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.89 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arthur Gea | 58c | 910.64$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anton Matusevich | 41c | 600$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.67 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Arthur Gea | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Anton Matusevich | 2c | 454.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anton Matusevich | 42c | 440.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anton Matusevich | 6c | 408.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Arthur Gea | 56c | 402.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Anton Matusevich | 6c | 380.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…96e9backed Anton Matusevich | 29c | 340.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Arthur Gea | 59c | 333.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 308.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 735 | 58.6%431 W · 304 L | -26.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Arthur Gea | 59c | 288.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Anton Matusevich | 39c | 258$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 363 | 48.2%175 W · 188 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Arthur Gea | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Arthur Gea | 61c | 245.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anton Matusevich | 35c | 208.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 200.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Anton Matusevich | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Arthur Gea | 57c | 176.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 390 | 52.1%203 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arthur Gea | 56c | 150.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Anton Matusevich | 27c | 140.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Arthur Gea | 74c | 133.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Anton Matusevich | 42c | 133.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Anton Matusevich | 49c | 131$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anton Matusevich | 15c | 119.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Anton Matusevich | 41c | 105.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Anton Matusevich | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Arthur Gea | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f423backed Anton Matusevich | 43c | 64.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Arthur Gea | 51c | 54.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Arthur Gea | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arthur Gea | 55c | 49.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Arthur Gea | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Arthur Gea | 59c | 46.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Anton Matusevich | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Arthur Gea | 57c | 41.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Arthur Gea | 57c | 37.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Arthur Gea | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Arthur Gea | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Arthur Gea | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Arthur Gea | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Arthur Gea | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…3579backed Anton Matusevich | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Arthur Gea | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Arthur Gea | 57c | 29.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…2aefbacked Anton Matusevich | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Arthur Gea | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Arthur Gea | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arthur Gea | 66c | 15.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.