CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Esport BERG (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #5 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4dc16f1014f09a6c87ee62d17dbd8568050f64cfa0ab3c5feac1d4b8e5ac55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, Esport BERG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 72c | 1,969$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.89 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Esport BERG | 10c | 1,244$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Esport BERG | 26c | 909.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.71 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Esport BERG | 28c | 574.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Esport BERG | 28c | 387.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Esport BERG | 21c | 374.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Esport BERG | 15c | 348.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ASTRAL | 73c | 345.6$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Esport BERG | 18c | 229.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Esport BERG | 27c | 225$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Esport BERG | 7c | 171.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Esport BERG | 26c | 171$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Esport BERG | 28c | 162.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Esport BERG | 23c | 150.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed ASTRAL | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Esport BERG | 27c | 136.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed ASTRAL | 71c | 131.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Esport BERG | 23c | 128.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Esport BERG | 28c | 117$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Esport BERG | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ASTRAL | 75c | 91.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Esport BERG | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed ASTRAL | 72c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…35d8backed ASTRAL | 77c | 83.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Esport BERG | 21c | 65.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Esport BERG | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Esport BERG | 28c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Esport BERG | 29c | 57.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130e…cc45backed Esport BERG | 19c | 51.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ASTRAL | 74c | 42.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ASTRAL | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Esport BERG | 28c | 36.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed ASTRAL | 79c | 36.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked ASTRAL | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…bf12backed ASTRAL | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed ASTRAL | 72c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.