Tennis · resolved market
Zug: Zsombor Piros vs Stefano Napolitano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea5d8e21d189a7c76bf9f35acef8abb536ed7cda88a1984d0dfacf524f25cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zsombor Pirosof Zsombor Piros, Stefano Napolitano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefano Napolitano | 5c | 25,225$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Zsombor Piros | 76c | 3,952$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.98 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Stefano Napolitano | 10c | 3,692$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.49 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Stefano Napolitano | 22c | 2,899$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.55 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Zsombor Piros | 78c | 1,442$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.24 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Stefano Napolitano | 2c | 1,421$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 989$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.36 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 599.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed Stefano Napolitano | 6c | 545$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Stefano Napolitano | 22c | 536.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 515.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Stefano Napolitano | 19c | 502.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 494.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 410.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Zsombor Piros | 77c | 325.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 321.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Zsombor Piros | 77c | 293.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 277.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Zsombor Piros | 79c | 275.34$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Zsombor Piros | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stefano Napolitano | 23c | 265.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 206.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Stefano Napolitano | 6c | 206.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Stefano Napolitano | 20c | 195.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1363backed Zsombor Piros | 80c | 187.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 161.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 143.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Zsombor Piros | 75c | 134.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Stefano Napolitano | 23c | 112.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 111.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 84.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Zsombor Piros | 78c | 77.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Zsombor Piros | 78c | 70.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zsombor Piros | 75c | 70.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 69.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 60.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 59.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 58.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Zsombor Piros | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 50.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Zsombor Piros | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 46.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…cad2backed Zsombor Piros | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -13.7wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Zsombor Piros | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Zsombor Piros | 74c | 26.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Zsombor Piros | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zsombor Piros | 77c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Zsombor Piros | 79c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.