Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1c93dce84502383299e21057645842cfc96b7440ef1e3b10caa75dd09f9db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,494$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.09 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 8c | 1,127$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 362.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 349.8$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 37c | 319.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 22c | 277.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 265.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Yes | 27c | 184$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 12c | 175$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 8c | 164.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 157.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…bc49backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 146.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 11c | 144.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 142$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 34c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 38c | 127.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 42c | 119.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…f360backed Yes | 24c | 117.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 106.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…366ebacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 99.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 96.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 86.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 22c | 83.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 34c | 82.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 34c | 79.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed No | 67c | 74.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 72.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 60.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 35c | 60.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 33c | 59.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…52dcbacked Yes | 39c | 58.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed No | 59c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 75c | 50.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 49.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 49.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 71c | 48.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 45.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 44.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 38c | 43.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 61c | 41.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 76c | 41.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 37c | 40.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…7608backed Yes | 36c | 40.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 32c | 40.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…ba8bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 63c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…fec5backed Yes | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 72c | 34.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 36c | 33.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 31.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 62c | 31.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 40c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked No | 56c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2b9abacked No | 60c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…baf4backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 23.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…3475backed No | 64c | 23.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 68c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…0900backed No | 62c | 21.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 64c | 20.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 69c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 68c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 77c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.