Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8905447da7848f9e91b4cc8784f727315b9bc4e1a0d1f1932bad73024a18e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 49c | 667.81$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 51c | 533.61$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.47 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 47c | 476.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…7f79backed Yes | 61c | 394.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 363.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 40c | 265.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 8c | 209.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 74c | 199.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 195.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 51c | 192.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 150.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 12c | 140.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 53c | 138.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 36c | 134.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed No | 26c | 131.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 126.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 34c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 45c | 112.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…6cc9backed Yes | 73c | 112.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 67c | 99.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 46c | 99.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 42c | 94.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 49c | 90.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 69c | 89.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…c744backed No | 58c | 85.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 32c | 82.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked No | 47c | 80.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 37c | 77.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 50c | 77.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 59c | 68.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 43c | 66.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…7b4fbacked Yes | 45c | 62.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 48c | 62.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…573fbacked No | 52c | 61.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…942dbacked No | 54c | 59.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 39c | 59.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e74…d7c4backed Yes | 56c | 54.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked No | 54c | 51.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 34c | 48.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed Yes | 43c | 47.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 50c | 46.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 52c | 44.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…40c2backed No | 43c | 43.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…7f00backed No | 55c | 43.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 36c | 40.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed No | 47c | 40.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 40c | 40.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 70c | 39.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…1b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…0d2abacked No | 53c | 35.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…bedcbacked No | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 42c | 33.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 53c | 32.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 58c | 31.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 48c | 30.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…4739backed Yes | 51c | 29.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…141cbacked Yes | 44c | 29.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed No | 49c | 29.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…89bcbacked Yes | 68c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked No | 61c | 28.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…af7bbacked Yes | 53c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 45c | 28.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 51c | 28.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 42c | 28.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…039fbacked Yes | 47c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…2db8backed No | 55c | 27.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 54c | 26.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Yes | 43c | 26.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…0053backed Yes | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 71c | 26.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d76…89c6backed Yes | 45c | 26.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 54c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…1838backed No | 78c | 25.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…97edbacked Yes | 57c | 25.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed Yes | 55c | 25.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…a01dbacked Yes | 41c | 24.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…be26backed Yes | 60c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 41c | 24.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…12bdbacked No | 55c | 24.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 51c | 23.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 57c | 22.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…5aafbacked No | 58c | 22.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…2909backed Yes | 49c | 22.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 72c | 21.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 58c | 20.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…bdbfbacked No | 56c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed No | 56c | 20.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 55c | 20.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…0be4backed No | 59c | 20.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39b7…847cbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 59c | 19.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…1096backed Yes | 54c | 19.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 58c | 19.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…ca1cbacked Yes | 69c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…a6aabacked Yes | 78c | 17.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.