TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Harold Mayotof Harold Mayot, Semen Pankin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3663…8950backed Semen Pankin26c8,636$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.3839243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Semen Pankin18c6,077$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.068,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Semen Pankin25c5,746$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.018,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Harold Mayot68c4,572$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.21,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Semen Pankin38c4,299$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Semen Pankin26c3,604$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.531,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Harold Mayot68c3,565$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.0116552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Harold Mayot75c2,372$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.9652152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Harold Mayot74c2,214$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.751,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Harold Mayot74c2,011$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.8427944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Semen Pankin9c1,266$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4256827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Semen Pankin27c1,215$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.141,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb450…1c12backed Semen Pankin42c1,197$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Harold Mayot77c1,130$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.816,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Semen Pankin39c1,029$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.95,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Harold Mayot73c1,026$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.076464.1%41 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Harold Mayot58c1,000$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.849,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Semen Pankin14c840.89$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7242125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Harold Mayot74c805$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.33,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Harold Mayot67c800.94$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.548,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Harold Mayot73c751.35$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0878840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Harold Mayot60c725.22$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.522,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Semen Pankin16c710.52$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.662,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Harold Mayot66c612.88$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.771,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Harold Mayot74c547.77$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.91,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Harold Mayot73c534.36$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.33,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Harold Mayot74c519.54$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.861471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Harold Mayot62c499.7$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.294,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Harold Mayot64c471.49$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5659253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Semen Pankin27c463.75$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Harold Mayot59c443.94$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.154,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Harold Mayot74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Harold Mayot75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003174.2%23 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Harold Mayot59c392.15$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.012,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Harold Mayot59c385.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.016,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Semen Pankin27c358.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.99533.7%32 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Semen Pankin16c339.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed Harold Mayot75c296.45$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.485658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Semen Pankin45c286.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7365952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Semen Pankin17c284.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.221,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Harold Mayot57c283.49$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.924856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Semen Pankin26c275.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.627,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Harold Mayot55c267.17$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.939035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Harold Mayot62c248.68$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6255941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Semen Pankin17c245$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.11,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Semen Pankin14c237.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.214,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Semen Pankin14c236.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.412,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Harold Mayot73c232.47$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.773,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Harold Mayot74c225$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.535360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Semen Pankin24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Semen Pankin24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Semen Pankin24c204.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Harold Mayot74c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.17263.9%46 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Harold Mayot58c198.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.281,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Semen Pankin26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…ee7ebacked Semen Pankin19c188.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.983237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Harold Mayot58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.680153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Semen Pankin46c176.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8985348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Harold Mayot57c174.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.175052%26 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Semen Pankin27c173.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Harold Mayot74c172.02$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.181,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Semen Pankin10c169.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0258048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Semen Pankin34c153.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.630544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Semen Pankin14c153.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.015,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Harold Mayot58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Semen Pankin26c149.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.831,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Semen Pankin27c149$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2333462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Harold Mayot72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8987854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Harold Mayot72c138.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8246453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x092a…8577backed Semen Pankin12c137.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.519943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Harold Mayot73c137.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1158045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Harold Mayot57c133$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.191,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Harold Mayot64c127.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.396,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Harold Mayot57c122.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7922567.1%151 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Harold Mayot66c113.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.993,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Harold Mayot73c112.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.293,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Harold Mayot74c110.81$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8116154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Harold Mayot74c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.652557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Semen Pankin44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411839%46 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Harold Mayot74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Harold Mayot74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Semen Pankin26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb061…b7dcbacked Semen Pankin16c94.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.360%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Semen Pankin18c94.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Harold Mayot64c92.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Semen Pankin26c90.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8385637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Harold Mayot66c90.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4882560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Harold Mayot65c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.879052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Semen Pankin27c83.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4832837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Harold Mayot75c77.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5691755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked Harold Mayot75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.754953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Semen Pankin27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Harold Mayot72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4494255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Semen Pankin26c69.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0450340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Harold Mayot73c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6339443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Harold Mayot60c66.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Semen Pankin20c66.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Semen Pankin29c66.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.518330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Harold Mayot74c63.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Harold Mayot58c63.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3885449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.