Tennis · resolved market
Zug: Cezar Cretu vs Anton Matusevich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1bc93dfc3f5e334dfa984cd3a42afa8f1d393862459f0fd7bef3cd1a7a28726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anton Matusevichof Cezar Cretu, Anton Matusevich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Cezar Cretu | 2c | 5,440$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Anton Matusevich | 38c | 5,309$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.27 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Cezar Cretu | 63c | 2,955$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.08 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Anton Matusevich | 41c | 2,654$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.07 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cezar Cretu | 18c | 2,177$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.39 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Anton Matusevich | 40c | 1,842$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.29 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Anton Matusevich | 74c | 1,629$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.51 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cezar Cretu | 59c | 1,442$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.64 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu | 4c | 1,402$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anton Matusevich | 59c | 1,248$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Anton Matusevich | 37c | 920.77$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.59 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cezar Cretu | 60c | 845.84$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Anton Matusevich | 40c | 663.56$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.81 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Cezar Cretu | 39c | 645.91$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Anton Matusevich | 39c | 511.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cezar Cretu | 61c | 415.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.75 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Anton Matusevich | 41c | 365.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Cezar Cretu | 17c | 358.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Cezar Cretu | 14c | 331.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Cezar Cretu | 63c | 315.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Cezar Cretu | 60c | 298.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Anton Matusevich | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cezar Cretu | 61c | 210$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Anton Matusevich | 39c | 188.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Anton Matusevich | 37c | 180.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Anton Matusevich | 36c | 180.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Anton Matusevich | 40c | 148.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cezar Cretu | 51c | 140.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Anton Matusevich | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Cezar Cretu | 57c | 126.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Cezar Cretu | 60c | 126.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cezar Cretu | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cezar Cretu | 15c | 122.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anton Matusevich | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cezar Cretu | 63c | 100.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cezar Cretu | 39c | 89.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Anton Matusevich | 39c | 77.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Anton Matusevich | 38c | 73.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Anton Matusevich | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Cezar Cretu | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Cezar Cretu | 56c | 62.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cezar Cretu | 34c | 57.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anton Matusevich | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Cezar Cretu | 48c | 54.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Anton Matusevich | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Anton Matusevich | 38c | 50.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Anton Matusevich | 41c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Cezar Cretu | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Cezar Cretu | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Cezar Cretu | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Cezar Cretu | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Cezar Cretu | 63c | 31.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Cezar Cretu | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Anton Matusevich | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Anton Matusevich | 39c | 29.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Anton Matusevich | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.47per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Anton Matusevich | 61c | 22.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…422ebacked Anton Matusevich | 67c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Cezar Cretu | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Cezar Cretu | 60c | 17.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Cezar Cretu | 63c | 15.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.