TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Samford Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
East Tennessee State Buccaneersof East Tennessee State Buccaneers, Samford Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe348…a303backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers77c4,620$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Samford Bulldogs40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers71c1,911$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Samford Bulldogs23c1,577$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.541,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers59c1,156$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.515,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Samford Bulldogs27c1,156$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.911,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Samford Bulldogs33c1,027$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.796642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Samford Bulldogs24c871.5$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.192,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers71c862.35$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.35875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers60c666.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.571,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e0…45a6backed Samford Bulldogs29c591.65$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Samford Bulldogs24c526.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.352,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Samford Bulldogs40c513.13$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Samford Bulldogs42c483.34$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Samford Bulldogs5c470.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.427017.1%12 W · 58 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers60c451.53$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.483,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Samford Bulldogs35c408.4$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.663,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers59c343$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.572,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers59c305.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0879448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers65c220$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7734649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Samford Bulldogs26c214.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.671,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Samford Bulldogs43c209$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Samford Bulldogs6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125438.9%21 W · 33 L+15.0wins+0.28per pick11cpaid+213.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers58c185.73$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers68c177.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.134,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers72c161.53$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.611,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers64c148$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0222050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Samford Bulldogs24c104.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.573,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Samford Bulldogs41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4189146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers59c92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7275447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Samford Bulldogs34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers54c77.76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers58c67.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.312364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a11…de7cbacked Samford Bulldogs34c58.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Samford Bulldogs42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Samford Bulldogs41c49.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.492,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers58c34.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers59c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5314339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Samford Bulldogs42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers59c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.022,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe840…efbbbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51080%8 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.