South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe334e3841ca1b6073bad5df8d810ea863f8e807e77f9a90daf45219175b1951b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 38c | 6,230$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.98 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 5,992$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.57 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 1,049$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.04 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 51c | 945.14$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.74 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 44c | 883.34$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 818.28$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 817.06$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.74 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Under | 53c | 698$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 540.31$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Over | 47c | 429.88$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 370.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 48c | 284.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 47c | 252.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 250.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 223.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 192.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 186.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 175.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Over | 45c | 168.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 58c | 160.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 42c | 152.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 12c | 128.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 59c | 128.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 77c | 128.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Under | 55c | 125.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 15c | 114.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 110.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…0dcbbacked Over | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked Over | 44c | 87.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed Under | 61c | 87.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed Under | 61c | 86.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 78c | 71.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 47c | 61.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 59.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 59.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 57c | 57.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 59c | 54.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 70c | 54.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 61c | 48.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 61c | 39.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 50c | 37.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Over | 37c | 31.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 43c | 31.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Under | 62c | 28.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 43c | 25.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 51c | 22.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed Under | 56c | 20.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Over | 66c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Under | 61c | 16.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.