Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Oldenzaal Men: Jelle Sels vs Stijn Paardekooper
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53274353bdcf4b29660a08c14123d1add44611a1fc0c626d8a38246bd36fc05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jelle Selsof Jelle Sels, Stijn Paardekooper
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jelle Sels | 64c | 4,260$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Jelle Sels | 70c | 1,268$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.99 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jelle Sels | 59c | 981.35$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.14 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 838.78$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.37 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 44c | 755$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.55 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Stijn Paardekooper | 51c | 458.3$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.73 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 36c | 436$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 382.67$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jelle Sels | 63c | 362$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Jelle Sels | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stijn Paardekooper | 54c | 326.09$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 33c | 309.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Stijn Paardekooper | 33c | 203.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 158.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 154.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Stijn Paardekooper | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Stijn Paardekooper | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Stijn Paardekooper | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 112.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 37c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 22c | 87.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Jelle Sels | 42c | 79.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Jelle Sels | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Jelle Sels | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Stijn Paardekooper | 38c | 51.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jelle Sels | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Stijn Paardekooper | 60c | 40.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Stijn Paardekooper | 33c | 39.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Jelle Sels | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Jelle Sels | 44c | 24.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Stijn Paardekooper | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Jelle Sels | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stijn Paardekooper | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.