Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53984e7f4a84ff530ef9bec03a93e2a7f1ca957766b6a46ba128faa9b9bde0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 1,104$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.93 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 70c | 850$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 224 | 69.6%156 W · 68 L | +33.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 61c | 769.02$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 50c | 554.46$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.83 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 534.7$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 74c | 521.01$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 47c | 464.88$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 28c | 386$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 70c | 284.26$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 272.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 69c | 236.37$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x320c…7cfabacked Yes | 68c | 230.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 199.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 44c | 191$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 141$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 130.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…ccf9backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 70c | 100.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 166 | 71.1%118 W · 48 L | +33.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 75.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a8…b58bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +404.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 55c | 51.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 42.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 30c | 41.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 28c | 36.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…7f5abacked Yes | 30c | 33.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 68c | 33.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa463…28fcbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 58c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-26?Yes won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.