Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd61a6698647948a9cf1ff59858987bf9da4bbca1438e9d478aa7801f0978b26a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 2,121$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.44 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 1,224$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.94 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 1,032$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.9 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 24c | 957.22$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.22 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 945.3$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.89 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 840.94$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.82 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 714.15$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…25c7backed Yes | 28c | 358.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 357.78$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.47 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 33c | 343.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 325.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 73c | 272.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 21c | 254$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 211.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 15c | 200.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 26c | 192.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 18c | 189.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 404 | 56.2%227 W · 177 L | +33.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 13c | 189$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 166.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 27c | 138.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 137.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 20c | 133.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 34c | 131.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 24c | 130.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 117.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 77c | 116.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…ed49backed Yes | 18c | 111.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +458.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 23c | 87.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 22c | 76.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed No | 74c | 56.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 73c | 54.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 75c | 46.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…f7abbacked Yes | 26c | 39.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 68c | 34.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 215 | 66%142 W · 73 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…6dc2backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 841 | 53.6%451 W · 390 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 75c | 26.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 80c | 23.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 74c | 22.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 143 | 62.2%89 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 77c | 16.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 16.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 14.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed No | 80c | 14.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-26?this page
- Will FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.