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Asian League · resolved market

Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed No60c2,311$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.9287043%374 W · 496 L+24.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes41c2,283$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.6214041.4%58 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No42c2,033$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.366823.5%16 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed No52c1,916$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No57c1,856$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.7479842.4%338 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes59c1,332$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.8513163.4%83 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes48c992.12$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.189038.1%339 W · 551 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes48c776.34$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.522,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c686.52$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.431,57535.2%554 W · 1,021 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No55c599.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2708441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c593.92$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.961,80750.2%908 W · 899 L+32.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No59c581.76$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.922,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No41c532$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8825847.3%122 W · 136 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes43c487$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0535833%118 W · 240 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes56c423.74$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7675743.7%331 W · 426 L-35.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes43c402.79$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.31,34756.5%761 W · 586 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c386.98$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.881,27850.2%642 W · 636 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No56c355.33$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.348263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes44c339.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.516237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes53c326.84$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4431146%143 W · 168 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes58c280$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.191,08441.5%450 W · 634 L-39.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes41c271.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.511845.8%54 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfab…ccf9backed Yes48c271.01$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.721735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes43c269$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6720741.1%85 W · 122 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed No57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.162060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes41c243$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6393746%431 W · 506 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes58c224.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309344.1%41 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c221.09$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.636,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed No56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Yes53c196.66$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.795070%35 W · 15 L+9.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Yes49c175.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.951250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes53c160.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2933749.6%167 W · 170 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes42c158.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.43751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked No56c158.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.612147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No50c157.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.632642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes45c150.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.93732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes30c126.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810339.8%41 W · 62 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes45c117.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.091,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes32c113.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.471,13441.4%470 W · 664 L-17.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No52c104.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8419356%108 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce48…76b8backed Yes44c100.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c94.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.182,07654.2%1,126 W · 950 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c92.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.611,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes42c92.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes57c86.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1264142.7%274 W · 367 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No57c85.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.640456.2%227 W · 177 L+33.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No55c84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1817658.5%103 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No51c81.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.949556.8%54 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.410339.8%41 W · 62 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1328746.3%133 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked No58c65.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.527735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes52c64.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3234959.9%209 W · 140 L+49.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4b01…c511backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed No55c62.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.977356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2348…9974backed Yes58c61.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes57c59.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0438258.9%225 W · 157 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed No51c56.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf34…9e2bbacked Yes44c55.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…9085backed No57c54.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes44c51.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No56c40.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.955054%27 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973b…3c54backed Yes41c38.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+101.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7220454.9%112 W · 92 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd441…87febacked Yes69c37.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes46c36.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6823855%131 W · 107 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d0…681ebacked Yes42c36.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes56c35.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7637762.3%235 W · 142 L+60.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2a98…ef19backed No31c32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+58.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed No57c31.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No60c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45939%23 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6db…f4adbacked No52c30.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-75.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.336255%199 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.325561.6%157 W · 98 L+17.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf406…060dbacked Yes41c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked No55c24.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No74c23.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2798635.1%346 W · 640 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked No51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.572955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked No51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.572552%13 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4f…000ebacked Yes57c21.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No51c19.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7923043%99 W · 131 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No52c19.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.544443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes60c19.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.586650%33 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes61c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a98…df3bbacked No57c17.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.