TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Milan: Michele Ribecai vs Daniele Rapagnetta

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniele Rapagnettaof Michele Ribecai, Daniele Rapagnetta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,152 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniele Rapagnetta73c1,646$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.646,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Daniele Rapagnetta24c1,121$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.462,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Daniele Rapagnetta23c947.48$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.7596945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Michele Ribecai76c800$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michele Ribecai34c799.85$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.818,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Daniele Rapagnetta68c766.15$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6144758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daniele Rapagnetta71c722.72$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.378,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Michele Ribecai14c707.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.731,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Michele Ribecai64c627.69$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.752,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michele Ribecai59c592.85$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Michele Ribecai62c297.39$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.311,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Michele Ribecai75c277.31$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.981,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Michele Ribecai17c258.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.365,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michele Ribecai36c250.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.189,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniele Rapagnetta23c250$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.53,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Daniele Rapagnetta22c224.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1755,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michele Ribecai42c215.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.758,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Daniele Rapagnetta20c215.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.33,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Michele Ribecai78c208.97$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16340161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Daniele Rapagnetta20c205$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1643,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Michele Ribecai31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Michele Ribecai66c175$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.211,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Michele Ribecai56c175$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9833855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Michele Ribecai77c168.81$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13039254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Daniele Rapagnetta20c165$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Michele Ribecai75c160.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.323,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Michele Ribecai75c157.2$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.91,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Daniele Rapagnetta24c157$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3281047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Daniele Rapagnetta25c153.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.391,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Michele Ribecai14c149.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.466,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Michele Ribecai15c138.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.315,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Daniele Rapagnetta62c132.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.43,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Michele Ribecai71c119.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.821,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Michele Ribecai70c119$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.162,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Michele Ribecai69c119$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5292352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Michele Ribecai69c119$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.661,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniele Rapagnetta45c117.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.093,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Michele Ribecai75c115.47$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Michele Ribecai17c112.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.594,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Daniele Rapagnetta26c110.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3655032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Daniele Rapagnetta24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Daniele Rapagnetta20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Michele Ribecai76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7641272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Michele Ribecai77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7723742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Michele Ribecai66c98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.721,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Daniele Rapagnetta48c96.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.462,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Daniele Rapagnetta22c93.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8616955.6%94 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Michele Ribecai60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.347857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Daniele Rapagnetta26c89.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.152,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Daniele Rapagnetta23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9623536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Daniele Rapagnetta35c85.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.939832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Michele Ribecai59c80.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6536154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Michele Ribecai74c80.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5452355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Daniele Rapagnetta25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Daniele Rapagnetta19c76.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.321,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Michele Ribecai62c71.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2751457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Michele Ribecai67c71.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.491,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Michele Ribecai77c70.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5440861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Michele Ribecai72c68.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.62,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Michele Ribecai75c64.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Michele Ribecai61c64.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.041,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Daniele Rapagnetta34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.635349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Daniele Rapagnetta54c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2497852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Michele Ribecai74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Daniele Rapagnetta29c48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0824851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Michele Ribecai76c44.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.662,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Michele Ribecai68c44.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0162549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Michele Ribecai46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37a6…6684backed Michele Ribecai45c34.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.679564.2%61 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Michele Ribecai58c33.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.337835.9%28 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Michele Ribecai77c33.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.541,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Michele Ribecai73c32.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9847651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Daniele Rapagnetta39c31.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.452,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Michele Ribecai67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.146957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Michele Ribecai70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012658.7%74 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Daniele Rapagnetta73c26.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1678957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Michele Ribecai40c25.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.196,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Michele Ribecai40c25.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.184042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Daniele Rapagnetta45c25.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Michele Ribecai78c23.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4949658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Michele Ribecai51c22.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Michele Ribecai68c22.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5844552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Michele Ribecai74c19.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Michele Ribecai73c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.