Us Politics · resolved market
Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe635834015e1ab9a3e6888a7bf782906643152bb5b3202bfff84a239e1bf143a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1710…3344backed No | 10c | 4,600$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked No | 4c | 1,050$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 3c | 774.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 19c | 743.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 6c | 616$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 7c | 477.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 459$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…38cabacked No | 7c | 304.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 225.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 6c | 202.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…e5ffbacked No | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed Yes | 62c | 197.72$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 18c | 162$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 34c | 142.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 21c | 117.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed No | 49c | 69.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 18c | 69.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…4e2fbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…9e58backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?this page
- Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?Yes won
- Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?Yes won
- Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?Yes won
- Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.