Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Justin Engel vs Abedallah Shelbayh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66fb0cf58a3925845d57ac2450b2f1841eb58416e5fb24752a7d159e637da3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justin Engelof Justin Engel, Abedallah Shelbayh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,493 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 11c | 2,546$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 36c | 861.61$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Justin Engel | 68c | 752.4$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 36c | 745.42$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.86 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Justin Engel | 65c | 641.31$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 29c | 602.92$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 33c | 500$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Justin Engel | 69c | 448.71$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Justin Engel | 76c | 446.78$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Justin Engel | 14c | 439.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.95 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Justin Engel | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Justin Engel | 54c | 250.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 21c | 245.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Justin Engel | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 21c | 214.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 34c | 199.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 35c | 198.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Justin Engel | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Justin Engel | 68c | 181.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 34c | 179.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Justin Engel | 69c | 161.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Justin Engel | 70c | 152.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 37c | 142.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Justin Engel | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 46c | 130.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Justin Engel | 60c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Justin Engel | 66c | 116.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 22c | 112.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 73c | 111.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 38c | 110.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Justin Engel | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Justin Engel | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fd…da1abacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Justin Engel | 64c | 98.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Justin Engel | 63c | 96.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 28c | 90.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Justin Engel | 78c | 89.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 26c | 88.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Justin Engel | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 13c | 76.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Justin Engel | 59c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 39c | 70.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 34c | 69.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 19c | 66.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Justin Engel | 70c | 61.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 27c | 57.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 30c | 57.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 38c | 52.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Justin Engel | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Justin Engel | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Justin Engel | 49c | 44.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Justin Engel | 65c | 42.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 43c | 39.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…6463backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 31c | 36.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 36c | 33.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Justin Engel | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Justin Engel | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Justin Engel | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Justin Engel | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Justin Engel | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Justin Engel | 70c | 26.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Justin Engel | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 53c | 23.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Justin Engel | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Justin Engel | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Justin Engel | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Justin Engel | 63c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Justin Engel vs Abedallah Shelbayhthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Engel vs ShelbayhEngel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.