MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ebaa242821f4e18f5ce006e517244e0dac5d1535143c0e13cf1a244f8963c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Lotte Giants | 37c | 3,066$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.77 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked LG Twins | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.13 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 67c | 841.55$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 67c | 746.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 67c | 725.94$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.81 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 720.7$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.87 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 68c | 570.09$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 18c | 507.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 427$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.61 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 334.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed LG Twins | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 52c | 263.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 66c | 239.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked LG Twins | 79c | 239$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 33c | 230.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Lotte Giants | 21c | 222.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 64c | 220$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LG Twins | 62c | 182.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed LG Twins | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed LG Twins | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 137.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lotte Giants | 24c | 136.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed LG Twins | 26c | 116.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 63c | 115.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 102.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked LG Twins | 21c | 97.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 57c | 96.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked LG Twins | 35c | 96.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed LG Twins | 18c | 85.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LG Twins | 66c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed LG Twins | 64c | 77.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 72.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 70.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed LG Twins | 68c | 68.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed LG Twins | 68c | 63.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…7060backed LG Twins | 24c | 56.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 42.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 65c | 40.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 63c | 38.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Lotte Giants | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed LG Twins | 34c | 36.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed LG Twins | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…cb3abacked LG Twins | 64c | 31.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed LG Twins | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed LG Twins | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked LG Twins | 73c | 29.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed LG Twins | 63c | 27.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked LG Twins | 74c | 26.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked LG Twins | 67c | 23.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…aad7backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…066abacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…6cb6backed LG Twins | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…513dbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…3506backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…8999backed LG Twins | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed LG Twins | 65c | 20.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked LG Twins | 67c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked LG Twins | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed LG Twins | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed LG Twins | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked LG Twins | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.