Tennis · resolved market
ITF Stuttgart-Vaihingen: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Arantxa Rus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe78b1ef543641d4a450d3dde4ae5dad024e37628bf439ff1145626e5dc1de23b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martina Capurro Tabordaof Martina Capurro Taborda, Arantxa Rus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 8c | 3,522$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.64 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Arantxa Rus | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 58c | 899.35$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.72 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 14c | 812.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.37 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 9c | 220.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.29 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 10c | 198.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Arantxa Rus | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 22c | 164.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 42c | 156$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 9c | 146.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 24c | 88.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…2b05backed Arantxa Rus | 42c | 83.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 37c | 60.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Arantxa Rus | 43c | 59.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Arantxa Rus | 67c | 46.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Arantxa Rus | 42c | 31.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Arantxa Rus | 62c | 31.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Arantxa Rus | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Arantxa Rus | 69c | 26.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Arantxa Rus | 63c | 17.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 64c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Arantxa Rus | 74c | 14.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.